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Every weekday until the NBA season starts on October 27th, I will be asking a question that's bugging me (QTBM) about the upcoming campaign and attempt to answer my own query. Comments are welcome.
There's a lot of talk this offseason of how much Kevin Durant is going to take that next step in his third season into being a legit superstar. He reaped accolades from Jerry Colangelo, head of USA Basketball, during the summer and Colangelo said that Durant will have a place found for him on the team. High praise considering Team USA is the defending Olympic gold medal winning squad. That said, how much of the talk is warranted?
Here's what we know - Durant just turned 21-years-old yesterday, is 6'9", has a ridiculously long 7'5" wingspan, a pleasant demeanor, as well as a non-pleasant one on the court as he wrecked opponents for 25.3 points per game in only his second season in the league last season. Durant is the main reason people talk of his Oklahoma City Thunder being a team to watch this upcoming campaign. Is he really that good? Well, yes. There aren't many players his height that can shoot from the perimeter the way he can. Dirk Nowitzki quickly comes to mind and that is a fair comparison as both are able to either shoot over shorter defenders or take bigger and slower players to the basket. However, Durant hasn't even tapped his full potential at this point. Durant can improve his strength, which will enable him to fight down low for boards as well as convert in traffic and after a hard foul. In college he averaged double-digit rebounds (11.1) during his lone season at the University of Texas, but hasn't come close to averaging as many at the NBA level (career 5.4 RPG). Part of that is the lack of strength, but also the position he's played to start his career - shooting guard. However, now that he's at the three full-time, he'll get more opportunities. Defensively, his length should disrupt passing lanes and even reject some shots on dropdowns into the post or chasing players on the break. He has the tools to be as good as Kevin Garnett as a help defender, which would, obviously, make him an overall dangerous player for his opponents. I expect Durant's numbers to improve from last season's averages of 25.3 PPG, 6.5 RPG, 1.3 3PTM, 1.3 SPG, 47.6 FG%, 86.3 FT%. However, as much as his stats will be better, so will Durant's maturity and intangibles as he goes through his third season around the league. Superstar? As much as I love his game and laid-back way about him, it's still a bit premature to annoint him as such. Durant is a star, certainly, but until more people other than fantasy basketball geeks know about Durant's game, which will be a tougher task because of the market he plays in, the "super" is too early to add. A trip to the All-Star game, and more importantly the NBA postseason, will go a long way in getting that "super" adjective before "star."
Previous QTBM:
9.28.09 - Part I: Can The Lost Angeles Clippers Make A Big Jump This Season? 9.29.09 - Part II: Can LeBron James and Shaquille O'Neal Co-Exist?
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We can argue about whether the definition of the word should only include players on winning teams or not, and that speaks a lot to your question about All-Star teams, but his numbers are right there with a Danny Granger who made it because he plays in the East. As far as W-L, I expect the Thunder to improve to a 30-35 win team this season and compete for the playoffs next year and when he carries them there you can also add the "super" in front of "star"